Sunday, August 4, 2013

Remembering the past in Singapore



This video shows some pictures of the past of Singapore. Its good to think about how it was in the past. Makes me feel that time has really passed fast even though i'm not too old :)

The song played in the video is a popular xinyao (新谣) song titled: 'Xi Shui Chang Liu (细水长流)'
I heard it when i was in school back in the 90s. Many of you will remember it! This song writes about friendships and the dreams and worries that people have when they are young.

Enjoy the video and have a happy week ahead!



Saturday, August 3, 2013

Company in focus - Suntec REIT

I've always liked this REIT as its portfolio of properties are in Singapore and its business is relatively easy to understand. REITs invest in a portfolio of properties and are professionally managed by their team. Income generated from the rental of properties are collected and distributed to shareholders of the REITs. In Singapore, REITs distribute 90% of rental collected to shareholders.

Suntec REIT has the following properties in their portfolio:

100% of Suntec City mall
100% of Suntec City office towers
60.8% of Suntec Singapore international convention and exhibition centre
100% of Park Mall
1/3 of One Raffles Quay
1/3 of Marina Bay Financial Centre




All its properties have very high occupancy rate at more than 97% as at 31 December 2012.
Currently, Suntec City is undergoing a major asset enhancement project who aims to transform the whole of suntec city to a new look. The asset enhancement at the Suntec city convention centre has been completed and now there are more shops and eateries there. Suntec City mall is still undergoing renovations and is scheduled to complete in mid 2015.

The NAV for the trust is 1.93 at 30/06/13. Thus, it is trading at a discount to NAV of 18% at the current price of $1.60. The REIT is set to benefit from the completion of its asset enhancements which will bring in more revenue for itself. This also means distribution to shareholders is set to increase in the next 2 years.

The yield currently is around 5-6% annually. I have bought at much lower prices before in Suntec thus i do not find current prices too attractive. Furthermore, with interest rates set to rise in the next 2 years, a 5% yield will no longer be attractive in the future. Of course, you can still buy at current prices if you're investing for income. The price is not too high and not too low. It can still go lower. If you buy now, make sure you have holding power to hold the stock and also more money to buy at even lower prices. By averaging down, you can always buy more at lower prices and your overall price will be much lower in the long run. I do not encourage averaging down generally for other stocks. REITS have assets and are generally safe thus averaging down is possible. For other types of stocks, you'll have to analyse the business yourself and determine if it will be still strong many years down the road.

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Friday, August 2, 2013

An Introduction to Forex [Guest Post]

Forex trading has become very popular in the last couple of years – pretty sure most of you have seen a Forex ad at some point while you were surfing the internet. But what exactly is Forex and how does it work? Forex is short for Foreign Exchange, or in other words, currency trading. It has been around on an inter-bank level for a long time but recent developments in technology and online trading platforms made it possible for every individual to give it a shot. It is the world’s largest financial market with a daily turnover in excess of 3 trillion USD and a very high level of liquidity. It is also open 24/5. This would make it a very attractive market to trade in right? While this might be true, it is important to know how Forex trading works in order to determine if it matches your investor personality. This article will explain some of the main principles that you need to consider.

Long and Short Positions
Having a long position is a commonality in all the financial markets. It means you have bought a stock, for example, and you are waiting for its price to appreciate. This is exactly the same in the Forex market. Having a short position, on the other hand, is a feature much more common in Forex trading than in other financial markets. It means that you have sold a currency pair you do not own and are anticipating the price to depreciate. At a certain point you then buy the currency pair back (this is called “covering”) at a lower price (making a profit) or at a higher price (making a loss). This might seem a bit confusing but it is a really simple principle. When you go short the broker basically lends the currency pair to you and when you buy it back, you return it. That’s all there is to it.

Leverage
One of the most important characteristics of Forex trading is leverage. Leverage simply means that you are not required to put up a full amount in order to control a position – you only need a margin amount. To give an example, if leverage is 1:100 (this is the leverage most commonly used in FX trading) you would only need $1000 to control a position worth $100,000. That means you get all the risks and benefits of holding a $100,000 position – if the price rises to $101,000 (1%), you have effectively made a 100% profit on your $1000 trade, assuming your position was long.

The important thing to remember here is that leverage is a two sided blade. It amplifies your gains and it also amplifies your losses. If the price dropped to $99,000 (1%) you would lose that $1000 you initiated your trade with. Additionally, if you didn’t have any funds in excess to that $1000 on your trading account, your position would automatically be closed by your broker. You always need to maintain a certain margin of the position value on your trading account (determined by the broker) in order to avoid automatic closing.

High Frequency of Trading
Another important aspect of Forex trading is the frequency and duration of trades. When someone says they are a long term trader in the stock market, they usually mean they are holding shares for years. When someone is a long term trader in Forex, they hold their position for a couple of weeks at most. The shortest trades in the Forex market can only last milliseconds. Those trades are programmed to have automatic execution and are done tens (or even hundreds) of times per day. This higher frequency of trading makes it more exciting, but it also requires you to invest more time in developing your strategy. If you are the kind of investor who prefers to keep his position open for long periods of time, Forex might not be the optimal choice.

Liquidity
Earlier I mentioned that the Forex market was open 24/5. This means you can trade Monday-Friday all day and all night. However, you need to realize that different currency pairs have different liquidity levels at different times. For example, the most liquid currency pair, EUR/USD, will have the most liquidity when US and European markets are open, so it makes sense to trade in that time slot. On the other hand, USD/SGD will see most of the trades executed when Singapore and US markets are open.

*The above article is contributed and written by iMoney Singapore

Read Part 2 here.

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