Monday, February 27, 2017

The Future Is Female Conference - A Women-only personal finance, empowerment and lifestyle conference

Did you know there are more and more female investors now in Singapore? With women's earning capabilities going up to be similar to that of men now, many are looking at alternative ways to manage and grow their money.

For the first time in Singapore, there will be a women focused financial conference for all the females out there. Often, investment seminars are packed with men and this may be a turn off for a woman who attends. This will be a game changer conference.

The Future is Female conference, taking place on April 8 2017, Saturday, is organized by The New Savvy and supported by the Singapore Exchange (SGX). The New Savvy is Asia’s leading women-focused financial literacy and career platform. SG Young Investment is a partner for this conference.

*Look out for FREE tickets to this conference at the end of the post

The speakers for the conference include CEOs, senior representatives from financial institutions, successful women entrepreneurs, venture capitalists, FEMALE Ironman triathlete, fashionistas… and inspirational movers and shakers!

The conference is for those who are…

… struggling to manage their finances…
… dreaming of taking their financial position to the next level…
… feeling intimidated by the various investment options and financial markets out there…
… trying to take full control of their finances but you have no idea how or where to start…

Through this conference, you will…

• Be introduced to the concept of Personal Finance Management
• Learn about investment products, money management, and financial know-how.
• Be provided with a structure on how you can manage your finances effectively.
• Hear from men and women from across industries and generations who have redefined conventional pathways to success.
• Explore common issues in the personal and professional lives of modern women.
• Figure out how you can uncover your inner genius to overcome gender discrimination and thrive a male-dominated environment.

Some of the confirmed speakers to date are:

- Lynn Gaspar, Senior Vice President, Head of Intermediaries & Retail Clients at SGX
- Nels Friets, Board Member, Fullerton Fund Management Company and Vice Chairman, tryb Capital
- Bernard Lim, Executive Director, Senior Fund Manager, Asian Equities, Columbia Threadneedle Investments
- Ted Fang, CEO, Tera Capital, Frontier Group
- Junie Foo, Head of Corporate Banking Singapore, Global Subsidiary Banking, Asia Oceania, Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Rachel Lim, Founder, Love, Bonito
- Shao-Ning Huang, ex co-founder, JobsCentral
- Tamara Singh, Business Manager, Portfolio Execution Group, GIC
- Andy Lim, Executive Director, JL Family Office, Straits Real Estate, Lim Hoon Foundation

More details can be found on the conference website -- http://thefutureisfemale.sg/

Date: Apr 8, 2017 (Saturday), 0830-1900
Venue: SGX auditorium



FREE ticket giveaway (Contest has ended)

I've tied up with the organiser to have a FREE ticket giveaway (Worth $220) for readers of my blog. To participate in this contest simply click here to answer 3 simple questions. One lucky winner will stand a chance to win a free ticket to the conference. This contest is open to females only. Contest ends on 6th March 2017. The winner will be notified by 7th March.

In addition, the organiser have kindly given a unique discount code for all readers here. This will entitle you to a 12% discount. Simply use the code: TNSSGYI. This will be valid till 7th April 2017. 

For early birds, do take note you'll get a 20% discount until 8th March 2017 using the promo code: IAMSAVVY. Use this promo code first before 8th march.

The conference registration is open to both males and females but it'll be weird if you're a guy and go alone for this as the contents are catered more for females. You can certainly go with a partner though. 



*SG Young Investment is the official partner for The Future Is Female Conference 2017

*This is not a paid advertorial

Tuesday, February 21, 2017

Starhub - Dividend Investing Gone Wrong

There are many developments in the Telecommunication industry with the entry of a fourth operator soon in Singapore. As we all know, Singapore has 3 Telcos here namely Singtel, Starhub and M1. The 4th Telco which is coming will be TPG telecom. Let's take a look at Starhub in this post and see what went wrong with the share price falling from a high of $4+ to $2.80 now.

Starhub was once a favourite with its defensive nature and good quarterly dividends. If we had invested in Starhub back in 2005 and hold it all the way to 2016, we would be getting a dividend yield of 15.4% (based on a price of $1.30) and also the value of the stock price has increased by 3 times. $5000 invested in 2005 would become about $15000 in 2016 and we would still be getting about $800 dividends annually from the initial $5000 invested.

However, those who invested at a high of $4 were in for a surprise when it tumbled all the way to $2.80 now.

Here's a look at the chart of Starhub:


As we can see, the share price has dropped over the years, most drastically when the 4th telco was announced by the government. M1 share price has also dropped but Singtel is still strong. I've not invested in Starhub or M1 but have shares in Singtel instead. Working in the telecommunication industry previously, I do know that it is a very competitive market with little growth if the companies are only in the traditional telco business in Singapore. Singtel on the other hand has expanded overseas with most of its profits from its associates and subsidiaries in other countries and also went into other businesses such as digital marketing and cyber security.

Starhub is a favourite among many shareholders because of its quarterly dividends of 5 cents which they give out for many years since 2009. A 5 cents dividend per quarter translates to a yield of 7.14% at current price of $2.80. However, in its latest FY 2016 results, Starhub announced it will lower its quarterly dividends to 4 cents for FY 2017. After 7 years, they decided to lower its dividends. Why is this so?

Let's dive in deeper into the business of Starhub to understand why its share price has dropped so much and moving forward how it will perform.

Mobile is the largest of its business

Revenue from its mobile business is at 50.7% of its total revenue. Pay TV is at 15.8%. Mobile revenue came in at $1.21 Billion for the whole of FY 2016 with $2.3 Million subscribers. This means averagely, each subscriber pays $43.87 a month to Starhub for their mobile plan subscription. The fourth telco, TPG telecom, will only come in about 2 years later where we will see the real impact. If for example 500K of Starhub subscribers switch over to TPG telecom, we will see about $263 Million revenue gone. This is 9.8% of its total revenue now.

Investing at the wrong time?

Investing is all about the business and how it will grow moving forward. In the case of Starhub, it is obvious there will be impact to its business thus the reaction of the share price. If we had bought at $4+ when the PE ratio was about 18x-20x, we would have thought it was only slightly expensive. Even at $4, the dividend yield was 5% then.

However, as business sentiments changes with the introduction of new competition, the valuation changes as well. For this case, it is quite easy to see the impact as its reported all over the news for the new 4th telco. For other industries, it may not be so straight forward. Any companies' revenue and profit can be eroded anytime. As such, it is important that we always have a forward looking view for our investments and monitor the financial performance of a company. Remember the valuations will change according to the business environment. Stock price also tend to be forward looking where it will drop before the actual profits gets affected.


Is it a good buy now?

The fourth telco will certainly make the telecommunication industry more competitive and take away market share from the existing incumbents. I believe the market is trying to make sense of what is going to happen and is pricing in the impact now. The current PE ratio of Starhub is 14x. If we see the Earnings per share (EPS) drop by 10%, the PE ratio will be at about 15.7x. This looks like its trading at fair value with a slight discount at current price, taking into consideration the impact in the future.

The dividend yield, if the company maintains its dividend of 4 cents every quarter, will be at 5.7%. This is quite fair but the question is whether the company will continue paying this dividend or drop it even further? The real impact has not come in yet so everything is just speculation now. It may turn out that the 4th telco impact may be just 5% instead of 10%. If that's the case, PE will be at 14.9x which is more attractive. This is an interesting space to watch for the next 2 years. Will you invest in Starhub at current prices?

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Tuesday, February 7, 2017

My financial goals to make the most out of 2017

It’s a new year again. How has 2016 been for you? As we begin the new year, it is time to reflect on my goals for 2016.


Here are some goals I set for 2016:

Advancing in my career 

In 2016, I wanted to advance in my career after being in the same job for the past 6 years. I figured that if I continued to stay on, there wouldn’t be much progression. I also wanted to go into another industry and utilise my degree, which was in Economics.

I have started a new job in January 2017. It’s not easy to venture into the unknown, but I got a better offer with higher salary and I thought I should go for it while I still can. I'm prepared to face the challenges and excel in my work no matter what it takes going forward.

Saving at least 50% of my income

I set a goal to save at least 50% of my income in 2016, which I managed to do.

As compared to 2015, my expenses in 2016 had increased by about 90%, which meant I spent almost double of what I did in 2015. Thankfully, I managed to create additional income, which helped to offset my expenses for the whole year, and still allowed room for savings. This additional income came from stock dividends, writing, consultancy services and advertising income from the blog itself.

I'm happy to say the goals I set for 2016 were mostly achieved. However, as I have made plans to settle down with my partner in the next few years, higher expenses are expected. With that, my goal in 2017 is to plan for a life together with my partner, and for our future.

Goals for 2017 and Beyond

1. Buying a new home

I’m intending to save up for marriage and also for a house in the next few years . I will focus more on the housing part, where I plan to utilise my CPF savings. If not for the savings in my CPF account, I probably will not have enough to pay for it.


When planning my home purchase, I started off by looking at two key points:
  1. How much CPF can I use to pay for the downpayment?
  2. How much is the monthly loan instalment?

My budget for a house is $500,000, which is the average amount for a 4-room BTO flat in a mature estate, as seen in the November 2016 HDB BTO launch. We will want a property that is conveniently located near the MRT and also not too far away from town. I will probably pay a bigger sum of downpayment and take a $300,000 loan. The downpayment will be roughly $200,000, which we plan to pay for using CPF as well. For a $300,000 loan with a 25-year loan tenure and 2.6% interest, the monthly loan instalment will be $1,362. We want to make sure we have enough CPF funds to pay the monthly instalment and this amount is affordable for us. It is possible to settle housing matters just using CPF alone!


2. Rethinking retirement

With housing matters more or less settled using CPF, I started to think about whether I have enough savings to retire.  Using our CPF for housing will entail some tradeoffs even though our house is an asset which we may monetise in the future. I would still want to have enough savings in CPF for retirement without having to monetise my property.

The questions above made me embark on a daring numbers calculation to unveil how my CPF account grows over the years. I’ll use a simple calculation from age 25 to 35 based on the scenario and assumptions below:
  1. Starting balance of $5,000 in Medisave Account (MA), $18,000 in Ordinary Account (OA) and $5,000 in Special Account (SA) at age 25
  2. Median income of $3000 at age 25 and salary remains constant
  3. The interest rate of 2.5% p.a for OA and 4% p.a for SA and MA.
  4. No consideration for additional 1% interest in all the accounts
  5. Savings in OA is not used for housing 
With all the scenarios in place, how much CPF do you think each will have by age 35?

The answer: $205,406

The CPF accounts continues to grow after age 35 and interest is compounded year after year. Even with CPF used for housing, the account should still continue to grow.

Now, retirement is not only about the lump sum but also about how much we may need per month for our daily expenses when we retire. For retirement planning, CPF LIFE plays an important role. If we have the Basic Retirement Sum (BRS) of $83,000, we will get $700 - $750^ per month at age 65.

However, $700+ per month isn't a lot of money to me. I will definitely plan for higher payouts for my retirement. For myself, I will plan for a monthly retirement income of $4,500, taking into consideration inflation. A sum of $249,000, which is the Enhanced Retirement Sum (ERS) under CPF LIFE will pay out $1,860 - $2,000^ currently. The various retirement sums may be higher in the future, which might allow me to meet my target of $4,500 monthly payouts that I had planned for.

If you aim to have more in your CPF savings beyond your monthly contributions, you can consider topping up under the Retirement Sum Topping-Up scheme. We can also enjoy tax relief of up to $14,000 when topping up in cash - $7,000 tax relief when we top up our own Special / Retirement Account and an additional $7,000 when we top up for our parents, parents-in-law, grandparents, grandparents-in-law, spouse and siblings. I have topped up my parents’ CPF account in order for them to enjoy a more comfortable retirement when they reach 65. They will receive higher monthly payouts while I enjoy tax relief.

^Payout figures are estimates, based on the CPF LIFE Standard Plan and computed as of 2017


3. Focusing on my new job in 2017

As mentioned earlier, I've started a new job this year. It is a totally different job scope and industry for me so I will be learning new things and taking up new challenges to advance in my career. I will like to improve on my communications skills, build up my network and improve myself further.


4. Saving for the future

Saving money is still an important aspect in my life. However, over the years, I realised there is a limit to how much I can save if I do not increase my income. Changing jobs and creating more streams of income enabled me to earn more and save more in the process. Since I’ve started a new job in 2017, the focus will be on career advancement. I will be able to save 50% of my income easier with higher income now and in the future.

I will also be looking to increase my investments in stocks as I see opportunities to invest in the market the past few months and also in the upcoming year. Increasing my investments means more dividend income from stocks, which will also boost my cashflow and savings to redeploy in the market.


5. Relationship Goals

Besides money, relationships are important too. Because of my girlfriend’s encouragement and support, I feel I have become a better person. I hope I have given her happiness and made a positive impact in her life as well.

For the year 2017, I will strive to create a more positive impact for the people in my life and also through my blog. I have been inspired before and it really changed my life. I hope I can also be an inspiration for people in 2017.


The New Year 2017

What are your goals for 2017? If you've not created any goals, it’s good to spend some time to think of some goals you will like to achieve this year. Personally, setting goals has given me the motivation and purpose for my life. Why not set some for yourself and see how it works out for you?


SG Young Investment is a financial blogger in his late 20s who has a passion for finance and investment. SGYI has written more than 300 articles on housing, CPF, investments and personal finance which to date, has attracted more than 3 Million views on his blog.