Thursday, July 13, 2017

How To Have $1 Million Dollars For Retirement

$1 Million is a special milestone for retirement, advocated by many financial practitioners too. Why is $1 Million important for retirement? To lay out the context, $1 Million actually isn't really a lot of money for retirement. Assuming you have $1 Million dollars at the age of 55 and retire and live till 85 years old, you can spend about $33,333 every year from age 55 onward. This is about $2777 per month for expenses which really is just enough factoring inflation in the future.

$1 Million on the other hand is a good base for creating a steady stream of income for retirement. If we can generate 4% annual interest/dividend on the $1 Million, it is $40,000 which translates to $3333 per month. This is quite a good income for retirement.

In this post, I'll provide some realistic scenarios on what a typical average income earner's savings will turn out in his/her lifetime. This will allow us to see how $1 Million can be achieved realistically in our life.

Pure Savings without investment  

If a person just saves money but does not invest, this is how much savings he or she will achieve assuming a savings of about $18,000 to $20,000 annually:

I have added in a $60,000 expense at the age of 30 assuming the expenses is for marriage, house etc, the first milestone of a typical person's life.


AgeSavingsAdditional Savings
25$10,000
26$30,000 $20,000
27$50,000 $20,000
28$70,000 $20,000
29$90,000 $20,000
30$110,000 $20,000
31$50,000 $18,000
32$68,000 $18,000
33$86,000 $18,000
34$104,000 $18,000
35$122,000 $18,000
36$140,000 $18,000
37$158,000 $18,000
38$176,000 $18,000
39$194,000 $18,000
40$212,000 $18,000
41$230,000 $18,000
42$248,000 $18,000
43$266,000 $18,000
44$284,000 $18,000
45$302,000 $18,000
46$320,000 $18,000
47$338,000 $18,000
48$356,000 $18,000
49$374,000 $18,000
50$392,000 $18,000
51$410,000 $18,000
52$428,000 $18,000
53$446,000 $18,000
54$464,000 $18,000
55$482,000 $18,000
56$500,000 $18,000
57$518,000 $18,000
58$536,000 $18,000
59$554,000 $18,000
60$572,000 $18,000

As we can see, just savings alone will not get us anywhere near $1 Million at all even at the age of 60. Now, let's add in investment to see how it will turn out.

Savings with 8% investment

Using the same scenario and adding 8% investment return, this is how much savings we will have:


AgeSavingsAdditional SavingsInvestment return
25$10,000
26$30,800 $20,000 8%
27$53,264 $20,000 8%
28$77,525 $20,000 8%
29$103,727 $20,000 8%
30$132,025 $20,000 8%
31$72,025 $18,000 8%
32$95,787 $18,000 8%
33$121,450 $18,000 8%
34$149,166 $18,000 8%
35$179,100 $18,000 8%
36$211,428 $18,000 8%
37$246,342 $18,000 8%
38$284,049 $18,000 8%
39$324,773 $18,000 8%
40$368,755 $18,000 8%
41$416,255 $18,000 8%
42$467,556 $18,000 8%
43$522,960 $18,000 8%
44$582,797 $18,000 8%
45$647,421 $18,000 8%
46$717,214 $18,000 8%
47$792,592 $18,000 8%
48$873,999 $18,000 8%
49$961,919 $18,000 8%
50$1,056,872 $18,000 8%
51$1,159,422 $18,000 8%
52$1,270,176 $18,000 8%
53$1,389,790 $18,000 8%
54$1,518,973 $18,000 8%
55$1,658,491 $18,000 8%
56$1,809,170 $18,000 8%
57$1,971,904 $18,000 8%
58$2,147,656 $18,000 8%
59$2,337,469 $18,000 8%
60$2,542,466 $18,000 8%

With 8% investment return, this person can achieve $1 Million at the age of 50 with the same savings rate of $18,000 annually. Saving $18,000 a year from the age of 30 shouldn't be too difficult for many of us. Assuming a person earns $4000, he can spend $2500 a month and just save $1500 a month to reach the target.

If you think 8% investment return is too high to achieve, let's bring it down to 5% investment return

Savings with 5% investment

Using the same scenario and changing it to 5% investment return, this is how much savings we will have:


AgeSavingsAdditional SavingsInvestment return
25$10,000
26$30,500 $20,000 5%
27$52,025 $20,000 5%
28$74,626 $20,000 5%
29$98,358 $20,000 5%
30$123,275 $20,000 5%
31$63,275 $18,000 5%
32$84,439 $18,000 5%
33$106,661 $18,000 5%
34$129,994 $18,000 5%
35$154,494 $18,000 5%
36$180,219 $18,000 5%
37$207,230 $18,000 5%
38$235,591 $18,000 5%
39$265,371 $18,000 5%
40$296,639 $18,000 5%
41$329,471 $18,000 5%
42$363,945 $18,000 5%
43$400,142 $18,000 5%
44$438,149 $18,000 5%
45$478,056 $18,000 5%
46$519,959 $18,000 5%
47$563,957 $18,000 5%
48$610,155 $18,000 5%
49$658,663 $18,000 5%
50$709,596 $18,000 5%
51$763,076 $18,000 5%
52$819,230 $18,000 5%
53$878,191 $18,000 5%
54$940,101 $18,000 5%
55$1,005,106 $18,000 5%
56$1,073,361 $18,000 5%
57$1,145,029 $18,000 5%
58$1,220,280 $18,000 5%
59$1,299,294 $18,000 5%
60$1,382,259 $18,000 5%

With 5% investment return, $1 Million can be achieved at the age of 55. Still not too bad.

As we can see, achieving $1 Million is not too difficult in our lifetime with an achievable savings rate. However, the scenarios above assume that our savings is always 100% invested which is rarely the case since we will always have some cash on hand. There should be some buffer when using the above scenarios as a guideline.

Key to a financial free life - ESI

The key to having a financially free life is in our earnings, savings and investing (ESI). If we do not earn enough, we can always try to increase our income. If we spend too much, we can try to reduce expenses to have more savings. The last part is on investing and learning how to invest wisely.

For my life, I've focused on increasing my income for the past 2 years. Increasing income is much harder than reducing expenses as there are a lot of things not in my control. Increasing income is all about creating value in our workplace as well as out of our workplace. Skills learnt will always be valuable which people will be willing to pay us for.

This is how my income has evolved over the years:


As you can see, my income has essentially doubled on some months as compared to the past. Over the years, I've managed to create other streams of income through writing, consulting and investing. These income did not happen in an instant. It took a few years to build it up. I've also changed job for better career progression. There are a lot of things that needs to be balanced to make sure time is allocated efficiently. I've also had to, on some instances, reject additional earnings opportunities because I feel it would be too much for me to handle. 

What are your plans for retirement? Do you think $1 Million is an achievable target?

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4 comments:

  1. Hi SGYI,

    Nice article. I like the income graph, was zooming in hoping to see some numbers. lol.

    I wrote something similar previously and it has a google spreadsheet attached to make similar forecast - http://kpo-and-czm.blogspot.com/2017/01/when-can-i-be-millionaire.html

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi KPO,

      Great article you have too! nice spreadsheet there.

      Delete
  2. How do we get a 5% or 8% interest rate in Singapore? I would think that this rate is more achievable through stocks but then again, we got to factor in stock price movements.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes this rate is achievable through stocks investing. The performance of our investments may be up one year and down another year but on average it should hit at least 5% in the long run.

      Delete